Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000117 0.000129 0.000141 0.000156 0.000171 0.000188 0.000208
2025-11-16 0.000093 0.000110 0.000129 0.000152 0.000181 0.000215 0.000258
2025-11-23 0.000078 0.000096 0.000119 0.000149 0.000187 0.000235 0.000301
2025-11-30 0.000069 0.000089 0.000115 0.000151 0.000199 0.000263 0.000355
2025-12-07 0.000063 0.000085 0.000113 0.000153 0.000211 0.000292 0.000414
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000078 0.000107 0.000151 0.000215 0.000308 0.000457
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000145 0.000213 0.000317 0.000488
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000068 0.000098 0.000146 0.000221 0.000339 0.000543
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000065 0.000096 0.000147 0.000229 0.000363 0.000603
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000061 0.000092 0.000145 0.000232 0.000378 0.000650
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000059 0.000091 0.000145 0.000239 0.000401 0.000713
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000056 0.000087 0.000143 0.000241 0.000414 0.000760
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000053 0.000085 0.000142 0.000246 0.000436 0.000828
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000050 0.000082 0.000140 0.000249 0.000452 0.000888
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000047 0.000078 0.000137 0.000248 0.000463 0.000940
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000046 0.000078 0.000139 0.000258 0.000496 0.001042
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000045 0.000078 0.000141 0.000270 0.000533 0.001161
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000043 0.000075 0.000139 0.000270 0.000547 0.001228
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000040 0.000071 0.000133 0.000265 0.000549 0.001266
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000134 0.000272 0.000578 0.001376
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000038 0.000069 0.000135 0.000280 0.000610 0.001499
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000036 0.000067 0.000133 0.000282 0.000626 0.001585
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000134 0.000289 0.000657 0.001716